Loading...
Market
Who will win the Montana Senate race in 2024?
5
Republican Tim Sheehy•Jon Tester•Montana Senate•Sheehy•Tester•Libertarian•Green Party•Daoud•Downey•Donald Trump•Montana•Navy•Republicans•Senate•Trump•Harris
Resolution / Starting Odds
Tim Sheehy • 25%
Jon Tester • 25%
Libertarian Candidate (Daoud) • 25%
Green Party Candidate (Downey) • 25%
Official election results published by the Montana Secretary of State
Story
Tim Sheehy Leads Jon Tester 51% to 45% in Montana Senate Race, Key for GOP Senate Control
Sep 5, 2024, 04:00 PM
New polling data shows Republican Tim Sheehy leading incumbent Senator Jon Tester in the Montana Senate race, a critical contest for control of the U.S. Senate. According to a poll conducted by FabrizioWard and Binder Research for AARP, Sheehy has 51% support compared to Tester's 45% in a head-to-head matchup. On the full ballot, which includes Libertarian and Green Party candidates, Sheehy leads with 49% to Tester's 41%, with Daoud at 4% and Downey at 1%. Former President Donald Trump, who won Montana by 16% in 2020, has endorsed Sheehy, a businessman and former Navy SEAL. The outcome of this race is pivotal for Republicans, as flipping this seat could secure a Senate majority. In the presidential race, Trump leads Harris 56% to 41% in Montana.
View original story
Similar markets
Jon Tester • 25%
Republican Candidate • 25%
Third Party Candidate • 25%
Other • 25%
Jon Tester (D) • 33%
Republican Candidate • 33%
Other • 34%
Jon Tester • 25%
Steve Bullock • 25%
Other • 25%
No Nominee Yet • 25%
Republican Win • 25%
Democratic Win • 25%
Independent Win • 25%
Other • 25%
Jon Tester • 25%
Steve Bullock • 25%
Kathleen Williams • 25%
Other • 25%
Jon Tester • 25%
Steve Bullock • 25%
Monica Tranel • 25%
Other • 25%
Jon Tester • 50%
Tim Sheehy • 50%
Jon Tester • 25%
Steve Bullock • 25%
Monica Tranel • 25%
Other • 25%
Tim Sheehy • 25%
Matt Rosendale • 25%
Ryan Zinke • 25%
Other • 25%
Ruben Gallego • 25%
Kari Lake • 25%
Another Democratic candidate • 25%
Another Republican candidate • 25%