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Who will lead the primary vaccination campaign in Gaza by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Humanitarian Groups • 25%
Palestinian Health Ministry • 25%
Israel • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from involved entities
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Polio Outbreak in Gaza Amid Severe Sanitation Crisis, Israel and Humanitarian Groups Plan Vaccination Campaign
Jul 21, 2024, 12:09 PM
A polio outbreak has been detected in Gaza, exacerbating an already dire humanitarian situation. The spread of the disease is linked to severe sanitation issues, with hundreds of thousands of tons of solid waste piling up in the streets and near displaced families' tents. Humanitarian groups are considering a mass polio vaccination campaign for Palestinians in the Gaza Strip. Meanwhile, Israel is vaccinating its own troops and the Gazan population. The outbreak has raised accusations against Israel of using water as a weapon, further complicating the crisis.
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United Nations • 25%
World Health Organization • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
WHO • 25%
UNICEF • 25%
UNRWA • 25%
Other • 25%
Less than 50% • 25%
50% to 69% • 25%
70% to 89% • 25%
90% or more • 25%
WHO • 25%
UNICEF • 25%
Gaza Ministry of Health • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ceasefire allowing access • 25%
International aid and support • 25%
Local healthcare system improvements • 25%
Ongoing conflict and infrastructure issues • 25%
Less than 500,000 • 25%
500,000 to 600,000 • 25%
600,000 to 640,000 • 25%
More than 640,000 • 25%