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What will be cited as the primary reason for the success or failure of the vaccination campaign in Gaza by December 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire allowing access • 25%
International aid and support • 25%
Local healthcare system improvements • 25%
Ongoing conflict and infrastructure issues • 25%
Reports from the World Health Organization (WHO) or United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA)
Story
Gaza's First Type 2 Polio Case in 25 Years Paralyses 10-Month-Old Amid Conflict
Aug 23, 2024, 08:58 AM
The Gaza Strip has reported its first case of type 2 polio in 25 years, with a 10-month-old baby in Deir al-Balah confirmed to be paralyzed due to the virus. The World Health Organization (WHO) and other UN agencies, including UNRWA, are preparing a vaccination campaign aimed at over 640,000 children under 10 years old in the region. The outbreak is attributed to the destruction of Gaza's water and sanitation infrastructure, exacerbated by ongoing conflict. Aid organizations warn of a potential health catastrophe if a ceasefire is not established to allow for vaccination efforts. The situation highlights the severe impact of the conflict on Gaza's healthcare system, which is struggling to cope with the crisis.
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Ongoing conflict • 25%
Malnutrition • 25%
Logistical issues • 25%
Vaccine hesitancy • 25%
Humanitarian Groups • 25%
Palestinian Health Ministry • 25%
Israel • 25%
Other • 25%
Logistical issues • 25%
Vaccine supply shortages • 25%
Public resistance • 25%
Other • 25%
Fully successful • 25%
Partially successful • 25%
Not successful • 25%
Campaign not conducted • 25%
Fully successful • 25%
Partially successful • 25%
Unsuccessful • 25%
Ongoing • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Highly effective (90%+ coverage) • 25%
Moderately effective (70-89% coverage) • 25%
Low effectiveness (50-69% coverage) • 25%
Ineffective (below 50% coverage) • 25%
Lack of ceasefire • 25%
Logistical issues • 25%
Vaccine supply shortage • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
United Nations • 25%
World Health Organization • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Other • 25%
