Loading...
Market
Leader of Hamas by end of 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ismail Haniyeh • 25%
Khaled Meshaal • 25%
New leader • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from Hamas or reputable news outlets
Story
CENTCOM Chief Kurilla Praises IDF for Eliminating Mass-Murdering Hamas Leader Yahya Sinwar
Oct 18, 2024, 04:21 AM
General Michael Erik Kurilla, the Commander of U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM), congratulated the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) on the elimination of Yahya Sinwar, the mass-murdering leader of the terrorist group Hamas. Kurilla labeled Sinwar as the mastermind behind the October 7 massacre. He warned that those who choose the path of terrorism should expect the same fate. Kurilla also mentioned that 101 hostages remain missing, including seven Americans.
View original story
Similar markets
Ismail Haniyeh remains • 33%
Other leader emerges • 33%
Ismail Haniyeh remains leader • 25%
Yahya Sinwar becomes leader • 25%
New leader emerges • 25%
No leader • 25%
Saleh al-Arouri • 25%
Mousa Abu Marzook • 25%
Yahya Sinwar • 25%
Ismail Haniyeh • 25%
Khaled Mashal • 25%
Salah al-Arouri • 25%
Other • 25%
No Change • 25%
Mohammad Deif • 25%
Rafaa Salameh • 25%
Another known Hamas leader • 25%
Unknown new leader • 25%
Ismail Haniyeh • 25%
Yahya Sinwar • 25%
Khaled Mashal • 25%
Other • 25%
Khaled Mashal • 25%
Khaled Meshaal • 25%
Yahya Sinwar becomes leader • 25%
New leader appointed • 25%
Other • 25%
New leader from within Hamas • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ismail Haniyeh remains leader • 25%
Leadership transition to external figure • 25%
No leadership change • 25%
Ismail Haniyeh • 25%
Yahya Sinwar • 25%
Saleh al-Arouri • 25%
No change • 25%
Ismail Haniyeh • 25%
Khaled Mashal • 25%
Salah al-Arouri • 25%
Other • 25%
Yahya Sinwar • 25%
Ismail Haniyeh • 25%
Saleh al-Arouri • 25%
Other • 25%
Ismail Haniyeh • 25%
Mohammad Deif • 25%
Khaled Mashal • 25%
Other • 25%
Khalil al-Hayya • 25%
Mousa Abu Marzouk • 25%
Mohammad Ismail Darwish • 25%
Yahya Sinwar • 25%
Saleh al-Arouri • 25%
Khaled Meshaal • 25%
Other • 25%
New senior leader appointed • 25%
Current leadership remains • 25%
Leadership dispute • 25%
Other • 25%
Yahya Sinwar • 25%
Ismail Haniyeh • 25%
Saleh al-Arouri • 25%
Other • 25%
Muhammad Sinwar • 25%
Yahya Sinwar • 25%
Ismail Haniyeh • 25%
Other • 25%