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VisitWho will be the next UK Prime Minister after the July 2024 general election?
Keir Starmer • 25%
Rishi Sunak • 25%
Jeremy Hunt • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcement by the UK Prime Minister's Office
YouGov Poll Projects Historic 194-Seat Labour Landslide in July 2024 Election
Jun 3, 2024, 04:03 PM
A new YouGov MRP poll projects a historic landslide victory for Labour in the upcoming July 2024 general election. The poll, which surveyed over 50,000 people, predicts Labour will secure 422 seats, resulting in a 194-seat majority. This would surpass the landslide victory achieved by Tony Blair in 1997 and mark the largest Labour majority in over 100 years. The Conservatives are projected to suffer their worst defeat since 1906, securing only 140 seats. Notably, 12 Cabinet ministers, including Jeremy Hunt, Penny Mordaunt, and Grant Shapps, are expected to lose their seats. The Liberal Democrats are predicted to win 48 seats, the SNP 17, the Greens 2, Plaid Cymru 2, and Reform UK none. This projection indicates a significant shift in the UK's political landscape, with Labour poised for a historic win. Keir Starmer could be heading to Downing Street as Labour leader, marking a significant Tory wipeout.
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Keir Starmer • 33%
Current Conservative Leader • 33%
Another candidate • 33%
Rishi Sunak remains leader • 33%
David Cameron becomes leader • 33%
Other candidate becomes leader • 34%
Rishi Sunak • 25%
Nigel Farage • 25%
Boris Johnson • 25%
Other • 25%
Rishi Sunak • 25%
Penny Mordaunt • 25%
Mel Stride • 25%
Other • 25%
Keir Starmer remains leader • 33%
Angela Rayner becomes leader • 33%
Other candidate becomes leader • 33%
Narendra Modi • 33%
Rahul Gandhi • 33%
Other • 34%
Narendra Modi • 50%
Rahul Gandhi • 25%
Other • 25%
Narendra Modi • 25%
Rahul Gandhi • 25%
Amit Shah • 25%
Other • 25%
Keir Starmer • 33%
Angela Rayner • 33%
Other • 34%
Narendra Modi • 33%
Rahul Gandhi • 33%
Other • 34%
Narendra Modi • 25%
Rahul Gandhi • 25%
Arvind Kejriwal • 25%
Other • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Less than 400 • 25%
440 or more • 25%
420-439 • 25%
400-419 • 25%