Loading...
Market
Who will be the main political beneficiary of the Israeli leaks scandal by end of 2024?
2
Benjamin Netanyahu•Hamas•Gaza•Eliezer Feldstein•Netanyahu•National Security•Itamar Ben Gvir•Israel Defense Forces•IDF•Israeli•Tel Aviv
Resolution / Starting Odds
Netanyahu • 25%
Opposition parties • 25%
No clear beneficiary • 25%
Other political entity • 25%
Analysis from political analysts and credible news sources
Story
Netanyahu Aide Eliezer Feldstein Arrested Over Leaks That May Have Hindered Gaza Hostage Release; Thousands Protest in Israel
Nov 4, 2024, 12:52 AM
Israeli authorities are investigating a suspected leak of classified documents from Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's office that may have undermined ceasefire negotiations with Hamas and efforts to secure the release of around 100 hostages still believed to be held in Gaza. Eliezer Feldstein, an aide in Netanyahu's office and former spokesperson for National Security Minister Itamar Ben Gvir, has been arrested alongside several other suspects, including a fifth suspect who is an Israel Defense Forces (IDF) officer. The leaked documents reportedly contained sensitive intelligence related to the war on Gaza and hostage negotiations, and were allegedly used to influence public opinion, prolong the war, and bolster Netanyahu's political position. Courts have partially lifted gag orders on the case, with judges indicating that the leaks could have hindered the hostages' release. The scandal has sparked outrage among hostage families and led to widespread protests, with thousands of Israelis taking to the streets of Tel Aviv demanding a deal to release the remaining hostages and calling for Netanyahu to step down.
View original story
Similar markets
Resigns • 25%
Remains in office • 25%
Calls for early elections • 25%
Other • 25%
Bezalel Smotrich • 33%
Itamar Ben-Gvir • 33%
Other • 34%
Yair Lapid • 25%
Benny Gantz • 25%
Naftali Bennett • 25%
Other • 25%
Strengthened military cooperation • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant political change • 33%
Resignation of a government official • 33%
New policy changes regarding detentions • 33%
Remains Prime Minister • 25%
Resigns • 25%
Ousted by no-confidence vote • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased political support • 25%
Decreased political support • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Resignation or removal from office • 25%
Resignation of a defense official • 25%
Parliamentary inquiry • 25%
No significant political fallout • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Netanyahu agrees to ceasefire • 25%
Netanyahu faces formal inquiry • 25%
Netanyahu resigns • 25%
Increased opposition support • 25%
Government policy defense • 25%
Internal party conflict • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Complete success • 25%
Partial success • 25%
No success • 25%
Further leaks occur • 25%