Loading...
Market
Who will be the key political figure opposing the border wall in Poland by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Donald Tusk • 25%
Rafal Trzaskowski • 25%
Wlodzimierz Czarzasty • 25%
Other • 25%
Statements from political leaders or reports from credible news agencies
Story
Poland Plans 400-Kilometer Border Wall with Belarus by Mid-2025 Amid 'Hybrid War' to Combat Illegal Migration
Dec 29, 2024, 09:47 AM
Poland has announced plans to fortify its border with Belarus by constructing a 400-kilometer wall, aimed at preventing illegal migration. A senior Polish official stated that the construction is expected to be completed by mid-2025. This initiative is part of Poland's broader strategy to combat what it describes as a 'hybrid war' from Belarus, which has been accused of sending migrants into Central Europe. The Polish government has already taken measures to address the situation, including the use of force to deter illegal crossings.
View original story
Similar markets
European Union • 25%
None of the above • 25%
NATO • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
Migration control • 25%
National security • 25%
Hybrid war deterrence • 25%
More restrictive • 25%
No change • 25%
Unclear • 25%
Less restrictive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Opposed • 25%
No comment • 25%
Germany • 25%
Italy • 25%
Other • 25%
France • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Resolved diplomatically • 25%
Escalated to EU intervention • 25%
No significant change • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Successful completion • 25%
Unremarkable • 25%
Major controversies • 25%
Early termination • 25%
Meloni • 25%
Orban • 25%
Macron • 25%
None • 25%