Loading...
Market
Who will be identified as responsible for the SNCF rail sabotage by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Far-left extremists • 25%
Far-right extremists • 25%
Foreign actors • 25%
Other • 25%
Announcements from French authorities or credible news sources
Story
France Suspects Far-Left Extremists in Rail Sabotage During Olympic Games, Arrest Made
Jul 29, 2024, 07:53 AM
France's Interior Minister Gerald Darmanin announced that far-left extremists are suspected to be behind last week's sabotage of the SNCF rail network. The sabotage coincided with the opening ceremony of the Olympic Games. Authorities have arrested a far-left activist in connection with the attack. The individual was found at an SNCF site in Oissel, south of Rouen, with access keys to SNCF technical premises, cutting pliers, and a set of universal tools. Darmanin stated that the attack bore the hallmarks of far-left extremists and that intelligence services had identified several profiles linked to the incident. A police source confirmed the arrest.
View original story
Similar markets
Internal actors • 25%
Foreign actors • 25%
Both internal and foreign actors • 25%
Unknown/Unresolved • 25%
Iranian affiliates • 25%
Domestic groups • 25%
Other foreign entities • 25%
Unknown or not confirmed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Iran • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
None • 25%
Internal actors only • 25%
Foreign actors only • 25%
Both internal and foreign actors • 25%
Unknown/Unresolved • 25%
Far-left extremists • 25%
Russian operatives • 25%
Other domestic groups • 25%
No charges filed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Insurrectionary anarchists • 25%
State-sponsored actors • 25%
Independent hackers • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Russia involved • 25%
Internal sabotage • 25%
Third-party involvement • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%