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Who will be identified as responsible for the Paris railway sabotage by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Internal actors • 25%
Foreign actors • 25%
Both internal and foreign actors • 25%
Unknown/Unresolved • 25%
Official statement from the French government or law enforcement agencies
Story
Paris Railway Sabotage: French Government Investigates Foreign Involvement
Jul 27, 2024, 01:56 PM
The French government is investigating a potential sabotage incident on its railway system in Paris. French Interior Minister Gerald Darmanin stated that the possibility of foreign involvement in the rail sabotage has not been ruled out. The incident has caused significant rail chaos, and authorities are considering both internal and external sources as potential perpetrators. French MPs and officials have emphasized that it is too early to determine the exact nature of the attack or identify those responsible.
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Far-left extremists • 25%
Far-right extremists • 25%
Foreign actors • 25%
Other • 25%
Iranian affiliates • 25%
Domestic groups • 25%
Other foreign entities • 25%
Unknown or not confirmed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Iran • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
None • 25%
Insurrectionary anarchists • 25%
State-sponsored actors • 25%
Independent hackers • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Far-left extremists • 25%
Russian operatives • 25%
Other domestic groups • 25%
No charges filed • 25%
Political • 25%
Economic • 25%
Ideological • 25%
Other • 25%
Individual attacker • 25%
Terrorist organization • 25%
Foreign government • 25%
No one held responsible • 25%
Russia involved • 25%
Internal sabotage • 25%
Third-party involvement • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%