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Who will be elected as the next U.S. president in 2028?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Democratic candidate • 25%
Republican candidate • 25%
Third-party candidate • 25%
Other • 25%
Outcome of the 2028 U.S. presidential election as reported by major news outlets and official election results
Story
Trump Defeats Harris, Extending 200-Year Tradition—Will U.S. Ever See a Female President?
Nov 6, 2024, 07:40 PM
Donald Trump has won the U.S. presidential election in 2024, defeating Vice President Kamala Harris to become the nation's 47th president. His victory means that the longstanding tradition of electing men to the country's highest office remains unbroken after more than 200 years. The chance to sweep away a barrier to women that is as old as the United States vanished with Harris's defeat, prompting questions among some Americans about when, if ever, the nation will see a woman in the Oval Office. Trump's win also made the outcome particularly brutal due to his troubling history on gender issues and a campaign awash in misogyny.
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Kamala Harris • 25%
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Other • 25%
Republican Candidate: Donald Trump • 25%
Republican Candidate: Other • 25%
Democratic Candidate: Kamala Harris • 25%
Democratic Candidate: Other • 25%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez • 25%
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Gavin Newsom • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Pete Buttigieg • 25%
Pete Buttigieg • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
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Kamala Harris • 25%
Pete Buttigieg • 25%
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Other • 34%
Donald Trump • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Other (Third-party candidate) • 25%
No clear winner by November 5 • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Gavin Newsom • 25%
Other • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Pete Buttigieg • 25%
Mike Pence • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Ron DeSantis • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
Other • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Other Democratic candidate • 25%
Other Republican candidate • 25%
J.D. Vance • 25%
Ron DeSantis • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
Other • 25%
Joe Biden wins • 20%
Nikki Haley wins • 20%
Chase Oliver wins • 20%
Biden wins • 25%
Trump wins • 25%
Another Democrat wins • 25%
Another Republican wins • 25%
Ron DeSantis • 25%
Cornel West • 25%
Kamala Harris and Tim Walz • 25%
Donald Trump and Running Mate • 25%
No clear winner by end of November 5 • 25%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. • 25%
Kamala Harris & Tim Walz • 25%
Donald Trump & Running Mate • 25%
Other Democratic candidate • 25%
Other Republican candidate • 25%
Democratic Nominee • 25%
Third-Party Candidate • 25%
Another Democratic candidate • 25%
Another Republican candidate • 25%
Another Democrat • 25%
Another Republican • 25%
Kamala Harris wins • 25%
Donald Trump wins • 25%
Another Republican candidate wins • 25%
Another Democratic candidate wins • 25%
No Winner Declared • 25%
Donald Trump/JD Vance • 25%
Joe Biden/Kamala Harris • 25%
Other GOP Ticket • 25%
Other Democratic Ticket • 25%
No clear winner by November 5 • 25%
No winner declared by December 2024 • 25%
Other Candidate • 25%
No Clear Winner • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Other Democratic Candidate • 25%
No winner declared • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
Other Democrat • 25%
Other Republican • 25%
No Winner Announced by 11/5/2024 • 25%
No winner declared by Nov 5 • 25%
Donald Trump • 33%
Other Republican Candidate • 25%
No Winner Declared by Nov 5 • 25%
No clear winner • 25%
No clear winner by end of 2024 • 25%
No winner declared by end of 2024 • 25%
No Clear Winner by Nov 5 • 25%
Democratic candidate • 25%
Republican candidate • 25%
Third-party candidate • 25%
No clear winner by end of November • 25%
Tim Walz • 25%
Other candidate • 25%
No clear winner by deadline • 25%
No clear winner by November 10, 2024 • 25%
No Winner Declared by Dec 31, 2024 • 25%
No winner declared by this date • 25%
No Winner Declared by November 6 • 25%
No clear winner by November 6 • 25%
No Winner Declared by November 7 • 25%
No Winner Announced • 25%
Kamala Harris • 33%
Other • 34%
Donald Trump wins • 25%
Joe Biden wins • 25%
Kamala Harris wins • 25%
Other candidate wins • 25%