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WHO confirms Disease X as a new pathogen by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official WHO announcements or press releases
Story
WHO Probes 'Disease X' in Congo: 31 Dead, 416 Infected, Malaria Suspected
Dec 11, 2024, 09:43 AM
The World Health Organization (WHO) is investigating a mysterious illness in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) known as 'Disease X', which has resulted in 31 deaths, primarily among children, out of 416 infected individuals. Initial tests indicate that 80% of the samples tested positive for malaria, suggesting a possible link between the outbreak and this common tropical disease. The WHO has sent additional teams to the DRC to collect more samples and clarify the nature of the disease. While some patients have tested positive for malaria, there is speculation that the disease might be a combination of malaria with other respiratory infections or an entirely new pathogen. The outbreak has raised international concerns due to the potential for it to become a global health emergency.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Malaria confirmed as sole cause • 25%
Malaria with another identified cause • 25%
Unknown cause identified • 25%
Cause remains unidentified • 25%
Linked to DRC outbreak • 25%
Independent outbreak • 25%
Result of other known disease • 25%
Cause remains unknown • 25%
Outbreak fully controlled • 25%
Outbreak partially controlled • 25%
Outbreak ongoing • 25%
Outbreak worsened • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
New viral disease • 25%
Bacterial infection • 25%
Combination of known diseases • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Influenza virus • 25%
Coronavirus • 25%
Newly discovered pathogen • 25%
Other known pathogen • 25%