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Market
Confirmed Disease X cases in DRC exceed 1,000 by February 28, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 25%
No • 25%
Between 500 and 1,000 • 25%
Less than 500 • 25%
DRC health ministry or WHO reports
Story
WHO Probes 'Disease X' in Congo: 31 Dead, 416 Infected, Malaria Suspected
Dec 11, 2024, 09:43 AM
The World Health Organization (WHO) is investigating a mysterious illness in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) known as 'Disease X', which has resulted in 31 deaths, primarily among children, out of 416 infected individuals. Initial tests indicate that 80% of the samples tested positive for malaria, suggesting a possible link between the outbreak and this common tropical disease. The WHO has sent additional teams to the DRC to collect more samples and clarify the nature of the disease. While some patients have tested positive for malaria, there is speculation that the disease might be a combination of malaria with other respiratory infections or an entirely new pathogen. The outbreak has raised international concerns due to the potential for it to become a global health emergency.
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Outbreak fully controlled • 25%
Outbreak partially controlled • 25%
Outbreak ongoing • 25%
Outbreak worsened • 25%
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Less than 500 cases • 25%
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1001 to 2000 cases • 25%
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Malaria confirmed as sole cause • 25%
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