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Which U.S. federal agency will first take public action in response to the hacking of Trump's campaign by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
FBI • 25%
CIA • 25%
Department of Justice • 25%
Department of Homeland Security • 25%
Official announcements from U.S. federal agencies
Story
US Intelligence Confirms Iran Behind Hack of Trump Campaign
Aug 19, 2024, 09:50 PM
The U.S. intelligence community has identified Iran as the entity responsible for the hacking of Donald Trump's presidential campaign. This conclusion was confirmed in a joint statement by the FBI and other federal agencies, marking the first formal attribution of the hack to a foreign entity. The hack-and-leak operation targeted Trump's campaign emails, and the U.S. government has indicated that Iran has also attempted to disrupt both parties' campaigns. Previously, Trump had publicly accused Iran of being behind the hack, though he did not provide specifics on the information relayed by the FBI.
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FBI • 25%
U.S. State Department • 25%
Department of Homeland Security • 25%
Other • 25%
FBI • 25%
CISA • 25%
ODNI • 25%
Other • 25%
FBI • 25%
ODNI • 25%
CISA • 25%
Other • 25%
FBI • 25%
CIA • 25%
NSA • 25%
Other • 25%
Justice Department • 33%
FBI • 33%
Joint Announcement • 34%
Impose new sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Cyber counter-attack • 25%
No significant action • 25%
FBI • 25%
CISA • 25%
NSA • 25%
Other • 25%
Iran • 25%
Russia • 25%
Another Foreign Entity • 25%
No Foreign Entity • 25%
FBI • 25%
NSA • 25%
CISA • 25%
Other • 25%
Department of Homeland Security • 25%
Federal Bureau of Investigation • 25%
National Security Agency • 25%
Other • 25%
FBI • 25%
CIA • 25%
NSA • 25%
Other • 25%
FBI • 25%
CISA • 25%
ODNI • 25%
Other • 25%