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Which region will see the most significant political impact following Nasrallah's death by the end of 2024?
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Iraqi Shiite•Iraqi•Hezbollah•Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah•Nasrallah•Israeli•Beirut•Iran•Ayatollah Ali Khamenei
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased tensions in Lebanon • 25%
Increased tensions in Iraq • 25%
Increased tensions in Iran • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from governments or reputable news sources
Story
Iraq and Iran Declare Days of Mourning for Hezbollah Leader Hassan Nasrallah
Sep 28, 2024, 02:03 PM
Influential Iraqi Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr and the Iraqi government have declared three days of mourning following the martyrdom of Hezbollah Secretary-General Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah. Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani has directed the national mourning period in memory of Nasrallah and his companions, who were killed in an Israeli air strike on Beirut. Additionally, Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has declared five days of mourning in Iran for Nasrallah, reflecting the significance of his death within the region.
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Northern Syria • 25%
Lebanon • 25%
Iran • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased violence and clashes • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
Diplomatic efforts for peace • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Increased conflict in Lebanon • 25%
Increased conflict in Gaza • 25%
Increased conflict in both regions • 25%
No significant increase in conflict • 25%
Increased violence • 25%
Decreased violence • 25%
No change • 25%
Peace negotiations • 25%
Increased hostilities • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Sanctions on Israel • 25%
Other • 25%
Condemnation of Israel's actions • 25%
Support for Israel's actions • 25%
Calls for de-escalation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased military operations • 25%
Decreased military operations • 25%
No change in military operations • 25%
Other • 25%
Benjamin Netanyahu • 25%
Vladimir Putin • 25%
Xi Jinping • 25%
Other • 25%
Current leader remains • 25%
New leader from within Hezbollah • 25%
New leader backed by Iran • 25%
Leadership structure changes • 25%
Iran retaliates against Israel • 25%
Israel conducts a military strike on Iran • 25%
Both Iran and Israel engage in military actions • 25%
No military actions between Iran and Israel • 25%
UN Condemnation • 25%
EU Sanctions • 25%
US Military Action • 25%
No Major Reaction • 25%
Condemnation of Israel • 25%
Support for Israel • 25%
Calls for restraint • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%