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Market
Which party will win the Hartlepool seat in the next general election?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Labour • 33%
Reform UK • 33%
Other • 34%
Official election results as published by the UK Electoral Commission
Story
Labour Holds Hartlepool with 8,000 Majority, Defying 91% Reform Prediction
Jul 5, 2024, 01:29 AM
Labour has held the Hartlepool seat with a significant majority of nearly 8,000 votes. This result contradicts the exit poll predictions, which had indicated a 91% likelihood of a win for Reform UK. The victory in Hartlepool is a notable achievement for Labour, as the exit polls had projected 13 seats for Nigel Farage's Reform UK party. The outcome suggests a miscalculation in the exit poll forecasts, highlighting Labour's strong performance in this election.
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