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Market
Which party will propose the next no-confidence vote by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Les Républicains (LR) • 25%
La République En Marche! (LREM) • 25%
Socialist Party (PS) • 25%
Other • 25%
Official records from the French National Assembly
Story
French Government Falls in No-Confidence Vote, Barnier Out, Macron to Nominate New PM
Dec 4, 2024, 07:28 PM
The French government led by Prime Minister Michel Barnier (LR-EPP) has collapsed following a no-confidence vote in the National Assembly. The motion passed with 331 votes in favor, surpassing the required 288 votes. This historic event marks the first time since 1962 that a French government has fallen due to a parliamentary no-confidence vote. President Emmanuel Macron (RE-RE) will now be tasked with nominating a new Prime Minister.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Vote fails • 25%
Vote passes, Trudeau resigns • 25%
Vote passes, Trudeau remains • 25%
No vote initiated • 25%
Liberal Party • 25%
Conservative Party • 25%
New Democratic Party • 25%
Other • 25%
NDP leadership change • 25%
NDP remains independent • 25%
NDP forms coalition with Conservatives • 25%
NDP supports Liberals again • 25%
Jordan Bardella • 25%
Marine Le Pen • 25%
Michel Barnier • 25%
Marion Maréchal • 25%
Motion Withdrawn • 34%
Motion Fails • 33%
Motion Passes • 33%
Trudeau government survives • 25%
No vote held • 25%
Vote delayed • 25%
Trudeau government falls • 25%
