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Which party will form the next majority government in the UK?

2

Labour•Britain•David Cameron•Parliament•Labour Party•Potemkin•Farage

Resolution / Starting Odds

Labour • 25%

Conservative • 25%

Liberal Democrats • 25%

Other • 25%

Official UK Election Commission records

Story

Labour Wins 2024 Landslide with 33.9% Vote Share, Lowest Ever

Jul 5, 2024, 07:57 AM

Labour has achieved a significant landslide victory in the 2024 elections, securing 65% of parliamentary seats with just 33.9% of the vote. This marks the lowest vote share ever to win a majority in postwar Britain. For context, David Cameron secured a higher vote share in 2010, which resulted in a hung Parliament. The Labour Party's strategy focused on winning target seats rather than accumulating votes in safe seats. Despite the landslide, the election results reveal several caveats, including a low voter turnout and an increase in marginal seats. This outcome raises questions about the stability and efficiency of Labour's majority. Some commentators have described this as a 'Potemkin landslide' and speculated on the influence of the Farage effect.

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Which party will form the next UK government?

Labour • 33%

Conservatives • 33%

Reform UK • 33%

Conservative Party • 25%

Labour Party • 25%

Liberal Democrats • 25%

Other • 25%

Which party will win the most seats in the next general election in the UK?

Conservative Party • 25%

Labour Party • 25%

Liberal Democrats • 25%

Other • 25%

Which party will win the most seats in the next UK general election?

Conservatives • 33%

Reform UK • 25%

Conservative Party • 25%

Labour Party • 25%

Labour • 25%

Conservative • 25%

Liberal Democrats • 25%

Other • 25%

Political party winning the most seats in the next UK general election?

Conservative Party • 25%

Labour Party • 25%

Liberal Democrats • 25%

Other • 25%

Which party will win the most seats in the next British general election?

Conservative Party • 25%

Labour Party • 25%

Liberal Democrats • 25%

Other • 25%

Will the Conservative Party gain a majority in the next UK general election?

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Which party will win the most seats in the next General Election?

Labour • 25%

Conservative • 25%

Reform UK • 25%

Other • 25%

Conservative Party • 25%

Labour Party • 25%

Liberal Democrats • 25%

Green Party • 25%

Which party will win the most seats in 2024 UK General Election?

Labour Party • 25%

Conservative Party • 25%

Liberal Democrats • 25%

Other • 25%

Will the Labour Party gain a majority in the next UK general election?

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Which party will be the key opposition in the next UK general election?

Labour Party • 25%

Liberal Democrats • 25%

Green Party • 25%

Scottish National Party • 25%

What will be the outcome of the UK general election?

Conservative Party majority • 33%

Labour Party majority • 33%

Hung Parliament • 34%

Who will be the next UK Prime Minister after the general election?

Keir Starmer • 33%

Rishi Sunak • 33%

Other • 34%

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Will a new election be called in the UK before the end of 2025?

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Will Labour Party maintain its majority in the UK Parliament by the end of 2025?

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Will voter turnout in the next UK general election exceed 70%?

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

What type of coalition will form if the next UK general election results in a hung parliament?

Liberal Democrats-led coalition • 25%

Other coalition • 25%

Labour-led coalition • 25%

Conservative-led coalition • 25%