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Which party will cast the decisive vote on AMLO's judicial reform by the end of the 2024 legislative session?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Morena • 25%
PAN • 25%
PRI • 25%
Other • 25%
Official Senate voting records and announcements
Story
Mexican Opposition Pledges to Block AMLO's Judicial Reform in Senate by One Vote
Sep 6, 2024, 08:03 PM
Mexico's opposition is pledging to block President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador's controversial overhaul of the judicial system in the Senate. The ruling coalition, Morena, is within one vote of securing a two-thirds majority required to change the Constitution, needing 85 out of 128 senators. The opposition claims it has the necessary votes to prevent the reform, needing to hold together 43 senators to achieve this. This situation highlights a significant example of checks and balances in Mexico's political system.
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MORENA • 25%
PAN • 25%
PRI • 25%
Other • 25%
Passes with simple majority • 25%
Passes with qualified majority • 25%
Fails to pass • 25%
Vote postponed beyond 2024 • 25%
Approved • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Delayed • 25%
Amended • 25%
Ruling party (MORENA) • 25%
Opposition parties • 25%
No significant benefit • 25%
Other • 25%
MORENA • 25%
PAN • 25%
PRI • 25%
Other • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
No clear majority • 25%
Filed by federal judges • 25%
Filed by opposition parties • 25%
Filed by human rights organizations • 25%
No significant legal challenge • 25%
Ricardo Anaya • 25%
Marko Cortés • 25%
Claudia Sheinbaum • 25%
Other • 25%