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Which major power, if any, will endorse Assad's removal by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Russia • 25%
United States • 25%
European Union • 25%
No major power endorses • 25%
Official statements from major powers or major news outlets
Story
Russia Engages All Syrian Opposition Groups, Rejects Role in Power Transfer Talks Amid Assad's Departure
Dec 8, 2024, 11:39 AM
The Russian Foreign Ministry has confirmed that Moscow is in contact with all Syrian opposition groups amid escalating tensions in Syria. The ministry emphasized that Russia has not participated in negotiations concerning the transfer of power from President Bashar al-Assad. Furthermore, the Russian government called for a political resolution to the ongoing conflict and urged all parties to renounce violence, supporting an inclusive political process based on United Nations Security Council resolution 2254. The ministry's statements reflect Russia's ongoing involvement in the Syrian situation, highlighting its position as a mediator while distancing itself from direct negotiations regarding Assad's authority.
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Sanctions • 25%
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Support for government in exile • 25%
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None by deadline • 25%
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Egypt provides assistance • 25%
UAE provides assistance • 25%
No assistance provided • 25%
Jordan provides assistance • 25%
New Syrian Government • 25%
Other • 25%
Hayat Tahrir al-Sham • 25%
Syrian Democratic Forces • 25%
No clear dominant power • 25%
ISIS or other extremist groups • 25%
Rebel forces • 25%
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Russia • 25%
Stable • 25%
Under Siege • 25%
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