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Which major city in Sudan will experience the next large-scale combat operation by March 31, 2025?
2
United Arab Emirates•UAE•Wagner Group•Russian•Sudan•Rapid Support Forces•RSF•El Fasher•Switzerland•Central African Republic•CAR
Resolution / Starting Odds
Khartoum • 25%
Omdurman • 25%
Nyala • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from reputable news agencies and humanitarian organizations
Story
UAE Uses Wagner Group via CAR to Arm Sudan Rebels, Escalates Siege of El Fasher
Sep 15, 2024, 12:00 PM
The United Arab Emirates (UAE) is reportedly using the Wagner Group, a Russian mercenary organization, to supply arms to rebels in Sudan's ongoing civil war. The Rapid Support Forces (RSF), backed and supplied by the UAE, have intensified their siege of El Fasher, severely restricting access to essential supplies and exacerbating the humanitarian crisis. Analysts and humanitarian organizations have reported unprecedented large-scale combat operations in the city. The situation has escalated despite US-led talks in Switzerland aimed at resolving the conflict. The Kremlin-funded military contractor used the neighboring Central African Republic (CAR) to facilitate these operations. The siege has led to famine and displacement among the city's residents.
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Central Khartoum • 25%
Northern Khartoum • 25%
Southern Khartoum • 25%
Eastern Khartoum • 25%
Central Khartoum • 25%
Northern Khartoum • 25%
Southern Khartoum • 25%
Other • 25%
Sudan's Army Victory • 33%
RSF Victory • 33%
Stalemate • 33%
Other • 1%
Sudanese Armed Forces • 25%
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Joint Control • 25%
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No • 50%
Sudan's Army • 33%
RSF • 33%
Shared Control • 33%
Other • 1%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Peacekeeping forces • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic mediation • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
