Loading...
Market
Which key provisions will be included in the final NDAA by December 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Pay raise only • 25%
Restrictions only • 25%
Both pay raise and restrictions • 25%
Neither included • 25%
Text of the final NDAA bill as signed into law
Story
Senate Advances $895 Billion Defense Bill with 83-12 Vote, Includes 14.5% Pay Raise, Final Vote Possible Tuesday
Dec 16, 2024, 11:37 PM
The U.S. Senate has advanced the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) with a significant bipartisan vote, breaking a filibuster with 83 votes in favor and 12 against. This defense policy bill, totaling $895 billion, includes provisions for a 14.5% pay raise for junior enlisted servicemembers and restrictions on taxpayer-funded transgender surgeries. The Senate's current voting reflects a stark contrast to the recent partisan divide seen in the House, where many Democrats opposed the bill. Voting is expected to continue, with a final vote possible as early as Tuesday. Last year's cloture vote on the NDAA was similarly supported, with a 85-15 outcome.
View original story
Similar markets
Modification of transgender care provisions • 25%
Reinstatement of DEI initiatives • 25%
No significant amendments • 25%
Pay raise percentage adjustment • 25%
Vetoed • 25%
Signed into law with ban • 25%
Other • 25%
Signed into law without ban • 25%
Passes with modifications • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Passes with all provisions • 25%
Fails • 25%
Farmers' aid included • 25%
Disaster aid included • 25%
Pay raise for Congress included • 25%
None of these included • 25%
Other • 25%
Pass with transgender care ban • 25%
Fail • 25%
Pass without transgender care ban • 25%
Other • 25%
Pass with amendments • 25%
Fail • 25%
Pass with current provisions • 25%
Passed with bipartisan support • 25%
Passed with Republican majority only • 25%
Passed with Democratic majority only • 25%
Failed to pass • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Majority negative reactions • 25%
Majority positive reactions • 25%
No significant reactions • 25%