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Will the NDAA pass the final Senate vote by December 19, 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official U.S. Senate voting records
Story
Senate Advances $895 Billion Defense Bill with 83-12 Vote, Includes 14.5% Pay Raise, Final Vote Possible Tuesday
Dec 16, 2024, 11:37 PM
The U.S. Senate has advanced the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) with a significant bipartisan vote, breaking a filibuster with 83 votes in favor and 12 against. This defense policy bill, totaling $895 billion, includes provisions for a 14.5% pay raise for junior enlisted servicemembers and restrictions on taxpayer-funded transgender surgeries. The Senate's current voting reflects a stark contrast to the recent partisan divide seen in the House, where many Democrats opposed the bill. Voting is expected to continue, with a final vote possible as early as Tuesday. Last year's cloture vote on the NDAA was similarly supported, with a 85-15 outcome.
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Pass with transgender care ban • 25%
Pass without transgender care ban • 25%
Fail • 25%
Other • 25%
Passed with bipartisan support • 25%
Passed with Republican majority only • 25%
Passed with Democratic majority only • 25%
Failed to pass • 25%
Pass with current provisions • 25%
Pass with amendments • 25%
Fail • 25%
Other • 25%
Passes with all provisions • 25%
Passes with modifications • 25%
Fails • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Signed into law with ban • 25%
Signed into law without ban • 25%
Vetoed • 25%
Other • 25%
Passed with majority • 33%
Failed • 33%
Postponed • 34%
