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Which justice will write the majority opinion if Supreme Court revisits Title IX LGBTQ protections case by Dec 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
John Roberts • 25%
Clarence Thomas • 25%
Samuel Alito • 25%
Amy Coney Barrett • 25%
Supreme Court's official opinion documents
Story
Supreme Court Blocks Biden's Entire Title IX LGBTQ Protections in 5-4 Decision; Gorsuch Dissenting
Aug 16, 2024, 10:00 PM
The U.S. Supreme Court, in a narrow 5-4 decision, has blocked the Biden administration's efforts to enforce its entire Title IX rules aimed at expanding protections for LGBTQ students. The ruling prevents the administration from implementing policies that would protect students from discrimination based on gender identity in schools and colleges across 10 Republican-led states. Justices Sotomayor, Kagan, Jackson, and Gorsuch dissented from the majority opinion, with Sotomayor specifically noted as dissenting. The court's decision leaves the new Title IX guidance blocked pending further litigation, as lower court injunctions remain in place.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Uphold the rewrite • 25%
Strike down the rewrite • 25%
Remand to lower court • 25%
No decision by end of 2024 • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Uphold the ban • 25%
Overturn the ban • 25%
Partially uphold/overturn • 25%
Dismiss the case • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Rule in favor of inclusion • 25%
Rule against inclusion • 25%
Remand to lower courts • 25%
Decline to hear the case • 25%
Federal authority • 25%
State rights • 25%
Constitutional protections • 25%
Other legal grounds • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
