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Market
Which international response will lead to Naama Levy's release by December 31, 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
UN Intervention • 33%
EU Intervention • 33%
No Intervention Leads to Release • 34%
Official statements from international bodies (UN, EU), major news outlets
Story
Israeli Naama Levy Marks 20th Birthday in Hamas Captivity for 260 Days
Jun 22, 2024, 02:20 PM
Naama Levy, an Israeli citizen, marks her 20th birthday today while being held captive by Hamas in Gaza. She has been in captivity for 260 days, having been kidnapped and wounded by Hamas terrorists. Her mother, Dr. Ayelet Levy Shachar, continues to fight for her release, along with the families of other hostages. Levy was kidnapped on October 7th and has been held for 37 weeks. The international community and various organizations are calling for her immediate release.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Released • 25%
Still in captivity • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Other • 25%
Condemnation of Israel • 25%
Condemnation of Hamas • 25%
Calls for ceasefire • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Release of Naama Levy • 25%
Continued captivity of Naama Levy • 25%
Rescue operation for Naama Levy • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Condemnation without sanctions • 25%
No official response • 25%
Support for Israeli actions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Military action • 25%
Other • 25%
Condemnation of Israel • 25%
Praise for Israel • 25%
Call for further action • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased sanctions on Iran • 25%
Official condemnations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Sanctions against Iran • 25%
Diplomatic pressure • 25%
Increased support for Salehi • 25%
No significant response • 25%