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Which government official will be primarily held responsible for the Mogadishu Central Prison security failure by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Minister of Justice • 25%
Head of Somali Custodial Corps • 25%
Prison Warden • 25%
Other • 25%
Official government statements or credible news sources
Story
Eight Dead, Including Three Guards, in Saturday's Attempted Jailbreak at Mogadishu Central Prison
Jul 13, 2024, 12:50 PM
A violent attempted jailbreak at Mogadishu's central prison on Saturday, July 13, resulted in the deaths of eight people, including five inmates and three guards. The incident began when militant inmates, reportedly associated with the Al-Shabaab jihadist group, obtained weapons including AK47s and launched an attack using pistols and three hand grenades. The Somali Custodial Corps and security forces swiftly responded, neutralizing the threat and killing several inmates. Among the deceased inmates were four individuals on death row and one serving a life sentence. The attack left three guards and 18 inmates injured. The Somali government has identified the militant inmates involved in the attempted jailbreak, and their bodies were displayed.
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Specific named inmate • 25%
Group effort with no clear leader • 25%
External orchestrator • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Ronald Rowe • 25%
Local law enforcement • 25%
Other Secret Service official • 25%
No individual held primarily responsible • 25%
Secret Service leadership • 25%
Local law enforcement • 25%
Event organizers • 25%
No one held accountable • 25%
Internal collusion • 25%
Security lapse • 25%
External assistance • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Prison Officials • 25%
Interior Ministry • 25%
External Attackers • 25%
Inmates • 25%
New Inspector General of Police • 25%
New Commissioner General of Prisons • 25%
New Minister of Interior • 25%
Other • 25%
Local IDF commanders • 25%
Higher-ranking IDF officials • 25%
No one held accountable • 25%
Combination of local and higher-ranking officials • 25%
Secret Service leadership • 25%
Local law enforcement • 25%
Event organizers • 25%
No one held accountable • 25%
Ronald Rowe • 25%
Local Law Enforcement • 25%
DHS Personnel • 25%
No one held accountable • 25%
Ronald Rowe • 25%
Other senior Secret Service officials • 25%
Department of Homeland Security officials • 25%
No one held accountable • 25%