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Which GOP faction will be most vocal in opposing the Trump-backed CR by end of September 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Fiscal conservatives • 25%
Moderate Republicans • 25%
Trump loyalists • 25%
Other • 25%
Statements from Republican members of Congress, major news outlets
Story
Speaker Johnson Pulls Vote on Trump-Backed CR with SAVE Act Amid GOP Opposition
Sep 11, 2024, 11:56 AM
Speaker Mike Johnson has pulled the planned vote on a Continuing Resolution (CR) that included the SAVE Act due to widespread opposition within the Republican Party. The CR aimed to fund the government for six months and included provisions to secure elections. However, significant GOP defections, including from Rep. Cory Mills and other fiscal conservatives, have jeopardized the bill's passage. Johnson has stated that discussions will continue over the weekend to build consensus within the party. The government faces a potential shutdown if a funding bill is not passed by the end of the month. The Trump-backed plan was set for a House-wide vote before being pulled.
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Republican Senators • 25%
Democratic Senators • 25%
Republican Representatives • 25%
Democratic Representatives • 25%
House Republicans • 25%
House Democrats • 25%
Senate Republicans • 25%
Senate Democrats • 25%
Traditional Conservatives • 25%
Trump Loyalists • 25%
Moderates/RINOs • 25%
Libertarians • 25%
Increased support for Trump • 25%
Decreased support for Trump • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Size of the spending package • 25%
Specific policy provisions • 25%
Lack of a balanced budget • 25%
Insufficient disaster aid • 25%
Rick Scott changes position • 25%
John Cornyn changes position • 25%
John Thune changes position • 25%
No changes • 25%
Sen. Chuck Schumer • 25%
Sen. Bernie Sanders • 25%
Sen. Elizabeth Warren • 25%
Other • 25%
Support Johnson's bill • 25%
Oppose Johnson's bill • 25%
Propose alternative bill • 25%
Remain neutral • 25%
Immigration Provisions • 25%
Spending Levels • 25%
Specific Allocations • 25%
Other • 25%
Mike Johnson • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Kevin McCarthy • 25%
Other • 25%