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Which demographic will predominantly support Alsobrooks in the 2024 Maryland Senate race?
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Maryland•Democratic Senate•Angela Alsobrooks•David Trone•Alsobrooks•George•Republican•Larry Hogan•Hogan•Democrat Ben Cardin•Trone•Democratic
Resolution / Starting Odds
18-24 year olds • 20%
25-44 year olds • 20%
45-64 year olds • 20%
65+ year olds • 20%
No clear demographic lead • 20%
Exit polling data from major news outlets
Story
Angela Alsobrooks Wins Democratic Nomination for Maryland Senate, Will Face Larry Hogan
May 15, 2024, 01:51 AM
Maryland's Democratic Senate primary concluded with Angela Alsobrooks securing the nomination over Rep. David Trone, who spent over $60 million of his own money on the campaign. Alsobrooks, the Prince George’s County Executive, will face former Republican Governor Larry Hogan in the general election. Hogan, who has been a prominent figure in Maryland politics, easily won the GOP nomination. The race is significant as it could influence the balance of power in the U.S. Senate, with the seat being vacated by retiring Democrat Ben Cardin. The primary was marked by high spending and intense competition, making it the most expensive race in state history. Alsobrooks received 48.6% of the vote, narrowly defeating Trone who garnered 47.6%, and consolidated backing from other Democratic candidates who dropped out.
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Similar markets
Higher youth turnout • 25%
Higher elderly turnout • 25%
Higher urban turnout • 25%
Higher rural turnout • 25%
Alsobrooks 40-50% • 25%
Alsobrooks 50-60% • 25%
Hogan 40-50% • 25%
Hogan 50-60% • 25%
<45% • 25%
45%-50% • 25%
50%-55% • 25%
>55% • 25%
Black voters • 50%
White voters • 50%
Endorsements crucial for Alsobrooks win • 33%
Endorsements crucial for Hogan win • 33%
Endorsements had little impact • 34%
Wins heavily with women • 33%
Wins heavily with younger voters • 33%
Loses due to conservative base backlash • 34%
David Trone • 33%
Angela Alsobrooks • 33%
Larry Hogan • 33%