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Which demographic will have the highest turnout for Kamala Harris in 2024?
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US•Election Day•Donald Trump•Kamala Harris•Trump•Harris•Polymarket•The Economist•McDonald•Pennsylvania•Black•Latino
Resolution / Starting Odds
Younger voters • 25%
Black voters • 25%
Latino voters • 25%
White, college-educated women • 25%
Exit poll data from reputable sources like CNN and Pew Research Center
Story
Trump Leads Harris by 25% in Polls as Election Day Nears
Oct 21, 2024, 04:23 PM
The US presidential race is intensifying as Election Day approaches. Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are in a close contest, with recent polls showing Trump leading Harris by a significant margin. According to Polymarket, Trump has a 62.5% chance of winning compared to Harris's 37.5%. The Economist's forecast model also indicates Trump has a 54-in-100 chance of victory, surpassing Harris for the first time since August. Trump’s betting odds have increased following his McDonald’s event in Pennsylvania. Voters remain divided on economic issues, with many unsure whether Trump or Harris is better suited to address the country's economic challenges. Both candidates are focusing on undecided voters, particularly younger, Black, Latino, and white, college-educated women.
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Highest among Women • 25%
Highest among African Americans • 25%
Highest among Asian Americans • 25%
Highest among Young Voters (18-35) • 25%
Independent Women • 25%
Senior Women • 25%
Men • 25%
Other • 25%
Latino voters • 25%
Black voters • 25%
Young voters • 25%
Senior voters • 25%
18-29 years old • 25%
30-44 years old • 25%
45-59 years old • 25%
60 years and older • 25%
Anti-Israel 'Uncommitted' group • 25%
Mormon leaders • 25%
Evangelical leaders • 25%
None of the above • 25%
18-34 years old • 25%
35-49 years old • 25%
50-64 years old • 25%
65+ years old • 25%
Less than 50% • 25%
50% to 59% • 25%
60% to 69% • 25%
70% or more • 25%
Young Hispanic Voters (18-29) • 25%
Middle-aged Hispanic Voters (30-49) • 25%
Older Hispanic Voters (50+) • 25%
Other • 25%
Women • 25%
Men • 25%
Young Voters (18-29) • 25%
Senior Voters (65+) • 25%
18-34 years • 25%
35-54 years • 25%
55+ years • 25%
Equal support across ages • 25%
Young Voters • 25%
Women • 25%
Minorities • 25%
Rural Voters • 25%