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VisitTrump Leads Harris by 25% in Polls as Election Day Nears
Oct 21, 2024, 04:23 PM
The US presidential race is intensifying as Election Day approaches. Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are in a close contest, with recent polls showing Trump leading Harris by a significant margin. According to Polymarket, Trump has a 62.5% chance of winning compared to Harris's 37.5%. The Economist's forecast model also indicates Trump has a 54-in-100 chance of victory, surpassing Harris for the first time since August. Trump’s betting odds have increased following his McDonald’s event in Pennsylvania. Voters remain divided on economic issues, with many unsure whether Trump or Harris is better suited to address the country's economic challenges. Both candidates are focusing on undecided voters, particularly younger, Black, Latino, and white, college-educated women.
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Markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
The official election results as reported by the Federal Election Commission
Social issues • 25%
Immigration • 25%
Economy • 25%
Healthcare • 25%
Exit polls and voter surveys from sources like Gallup and Pew Research Center
White, college-educated women • 25%
Younger voters • 25%
Black voters • 25%
Latino voters • 25%
Exit poll data from reputable sources like CNN and Pew Research Center