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Which crypto firm will be most affected by SEC policy changes by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Coinbase • 25%
Binance • 25%
Kraken • 25%
Other • 25%
Official company statements or financial reports
Story
SEC to Overhaul Crypto Policies, May Freeze Enforcement Under Trump Next Week
Jan 15, 2025, 03:16 PM
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is set to undergo a significant overhaul of its cryptocurrency policies under the incoming administration of President-elect Donald Trump. According to Reuters, the SEC plans to review and potentially freeze or withdraw enforcement actions against crypto firms, particularly those not involving fraud allegations. This shift in policy is expected to begin as early as next week, following Trump's inauguration. The new SEC leadership, including Hester Peirce and Mark Uyeda, known for their crypto-friendly stances, will be instrumental in these changes. Paul Atkins, Trump's nominee for SEC chair, is anticipated to lead the agency in a direction more favorable to the crypto industry, potentially easing accounting rules that have deterred companies from holding crypto for clients.
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Other regulatory actions • 25%
Criminal charges • 25%
No action • 25%
Fines or settlements • 25%
Negative impact • 25%
Significant positive impact • 25%
Moderate positive impact • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Joint leadership • 25%
CFTC leads • 25%
SEC leads • 25%
No change • 25%
Binance • 25%
Other • 25%
Coinbase • 25%
Ripple • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Minor adjustments to existing policies • 25%
Full policy overhaul with new guidelines • 25%
Freeze enforcement actions • 25%
Withdraw lawsuits • 25%
Other • 25%
Revoke SAB 121 • 25%
Continued regulation-by-enforcement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Shift to rulemaking • 25%
Increased collaboration with crypto companies • 25%
Increased regulation • 25%
Significantly eased • 25%
Moderately eased • 25%
No change • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased regulations • 25%
Decreased regulations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Introduction of a digital dollar • 25%
Other • 25%
Stricter regulations • 25%
Tax exemption for crypto • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Clarification of existing rules • 25%
Increased enforcement actions • 25%
New crypto-specific rules • 25%
Other • 25%
Accounting standards • 25%
Enforcement actions • 25%
Token classification • 25%