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What will be the impact of the SEC's new crypto policy on the market by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant positive impact • 25%
Moderate positive impact • 25%
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Negative impact • 25%
Market analysis reports from financial institutions or major news outlets
Story
Trump's SEC, Led by Peirce and Uyeda, to Overhaul Crypto Policy and Review SAB 121
Jan 15, 2025, 03:07 PM
The incoming administration of President-elect Donald Trump is set to initiate a major overhaul of cryptocurrency policy through the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). According to reports from Reuters and other sources, the Trump administration plans to review and potentially revise the SEC's approach to digital assets, including a possible freeze on current enforcement actions. This policy shift, led by Hester Peirce and Mark Uyeda, may begin as early as next week, aiming to clarify regulations around tokens and reassess ongoing enforcement cases in the courts. The overhaul is expected to include the review of past cryptocurrency-related cases, with some non-fraud lawsuits potentially being withdrawn. The SEC may also consider revoking accounting rules such as Staff Accounting Bulletin 121 (SAB 121).
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Continued regulation-by-enforcement • 25%
Increased collaboration with crypto companies • 25%
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Criminal charges • 25%
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Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased regulations • 25%
Increased enforcement actions • 25%
New crypto-specific rules • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
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Anti-crypto • 25%
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SEC leads • 25%
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CFTC leads • 25%
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No significant change • 25%
Increased regulations • 25%
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No significant change • 25%
More crypto-friendly • 25%
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Uncertain • 25%