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Which country will respond first to China's Hainan military buildup by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
U.S. • 25%
Japan • 25%
Australia • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from respective governments
Story
China Invests $50 Billion in Hainan Island Military Buildup, Including Spy Outposts
Oct 31, 2024, 09:48 AM
China has invested $50 billion in building a high-tech military stronghold on Hainan Island in the South China Sea. The island, roughly the size of Taiwan, has seen the People's Liberation Army more than triple the value of its military infrastructure over the past two decades. This buildup includes advanced facilities and spy outposts aimed at neutralizing possible U.S. defenses in the event of a conflict over Taiwan. Admiral Samuel Paparo described the expansion as the largest military buildup since World War II, posing a profound challenge to the region and to U.S. allies and partners.
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Japan • 25%
India • 25%
Other • 25%
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Both simultaneously • 33%
United States • 33%
Japan • 33%
Australia • 33%
Philippines • 25%
China • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
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European Union • 25%
India • 25%
United States • 25%
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Australia • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
Japan • 25%
Australia • 25%
No significant response • 25%
U.S. increases military presence in the region • 25%
EU issues a formal condemnation • 25%
ASEAN countries call for diplomatic talks • 25%
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China • 25%
Russia • 25%
North Korea • 25%
Other • 25%
UN sanctions • 25%
US military support to Taiwan • 25%
EU diplomatic intervention • 25%
ASEAN mediation efforts • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military deterrence • 25%
No significant response • 25%