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Which country will intervene diplomatically in the Israel-Hezbollah conflict by Dec 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
United States • 25%
France • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from involved countries, major news outlets
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Sky News Arabia: 14 Israeli Soldiers Killed in Hezbollah Ambush in Southern Lebanon
Oct 2, 2024, 12:15 PM
Israeli soldiers have reportedly been killed and injured in clashes with Hezbollah forces near the towns of Adaisseh and Maroun Al-Ras in southern Lebanon. Initial reports indicate that an ambush by Hezbollah resulted in the deaths of at least four Israeli soldiers and wounded up to 20 others as they attempted to enter Lebanon. Subsequent reports suggest that the number of Israeli soldiers killed has risen to 14, with up to 60 injured, according to Israeli sources cited by Sky News Arabia. Helicopters, including eight that arrived at hospitals in Haifa, have been seen evacuating casualties. The Israeli military is conducting ground operations in the area, and clashes have been ongoing since this morning.
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United States • 25%
Russia • 25%
France • 25%
Other • 25%
Lebanon • 25%
Iran • 25%
Syria • 25%
Other • 25%
Iran • 25%
United States • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
Russia • 25%
France • 25%
Other • 25%
United Nations • 25%
United States • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
United Arab Emirates • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
Russia • 25%
United Nations • 25%
No major intervention • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Iran • 25%
United States • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
US only • 25%
US and EU • 25%
US and Russia • 25%
US, EU, and Russia • 25%
UN-imposed sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
UN-imposed sanctions on Israel • 25%
Mediation talks initiated by UN or major countries • 25%
No significant international diplomatic response • 25%
UN imposes sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
UN imposes sanctions on Israel • 25%
UN calls for peace talks • 25%
No significant action • 25%
United States • 25%
United Nations • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other • 25%