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Which country will intervene diplomatically in the Hezbollah-Israel conflict first by October 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
United States • 25%
Russia • 25%
France • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the respective governments or credible news sources like Reuters
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Hezbollah Evacuates Key Sites Amid High Alert Following Deadly Golan Heights Attack Killing 12 Young People
Jul 28, 2024, 10:21 AM
Hezbollah is on high alert and has evacuated several key sites in eastern and southern Lebanon in anticipation of a possible Israeli escalation. This move follows a deadly attack on the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights, which Israel has attributed to the Lebanese armed group. Two security sources confirmed to Reuters that Hezbollah has cleared some key sites, including non-military locations in Beirut. The heightened tensions have prompted Norway to call on its citizens to leave Lebanon. The Israeli military has reported hitting Hezbollah targets in Lebanon after the attack that resulted in the deaths of 12 young people playing football in the Golan Heights. The alert status was confirmed on Sunday by Reuters.
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United States • 25%
France • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
France • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
Lebanon • 25%
Iran • 25%
Syria • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
Russia • 25%
United Nations • 25%
No major intervention • 25%
Iran • 25%
United States • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
Russia • 25%
France • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
Russia • 25%
France • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
United Arab Emirates • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other • 25%
United Nations • 25%
United States • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other • 25%
Iran • 25%
United States • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
US only • 25%
US and EU • 25%
US and Russia • 25%
US, EU, and Russia • 25%
Sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
Sanctions on Israel • 25%
Peace negotiations • 25%
No significant diplomatic action • 25%