Loading...
Market
Which country will Hamas attribute Ismail Haniyeh's assassination to by November 30, 2024?
3
Hamas•Ismail Haniyeh•Tehran•Haniyeh•Revolutionary Guard Corps•Middle Eastern•American•The New York Times
Resolution / Starting Odds
Israel • 25%
United States • 25%
Saudi Arabia • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from Hamas
Story
Hamas Leader Ismail Haniyeh Assassinated by Smuggled Bomb in Tehran on Wednesday
Aug 1, 2024, 01:39 PM
Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh was assassinated on Wednesday by an explosive device that was covertly smuggled into a Tehran guesthouse where he was staying. The bomb, which had been hidden approximately two months ago, was detonated remotely once it was confirmed that Haniyeh was inside. The guesthouse is managed and protected by the Revolutionary Guard Corps. This information comes from seven Middle Eastern officials, including two Iranians, and an American official, as reported by The New York Times.
View original story
Similar markets
Israel • 25%
United States • 25%
Saudi Arabia • 25%
Other • 25%
Israel • 25%
United States • 25%
Internal Hamas Conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Israel • 25%
United States • 25%
Internal Dissidents • 25%
Other • 25%
Turkey • 25%
Russia • 25%
Qatar • 25%
Other • 25%
Israel • 25%
Iran • 25%
A third-party country • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Iran • 25%
Turkey • 25%
Qatar • 25%
Other • 25%
Internal dissidents • 25%
Foreign intelligence agencies • 25%
Criminal organizations • 25%
Other • 25%
Israel • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Russia • 25%
China • 25%
Turkey • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
Israel • 25%
Iran • 25%
Other • 25%
Israel • 25%
United States • 25%
Internal Iranian dissidents • 25%
Other • 25%
Retaliatory attack on Israel • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%