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Which country will be the first to successfully develop and distribute a new mpox vaccine by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
United States • 25%
China • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other • 25%
WHO or relevant health authority reports
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WHO Declares Mpox Outbreak in Africa a Global Health Emergency for Second Time on August 14
Aug 14, 2024, 05:48 PM
The World Health Organization (WHO) has declared the ongoing mpox outbreak in Africa a global health emergency as of August 14, marking the second time in two years that the virus has been classified as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern. The outbreak, which originated in the Democratic Republic of Congo, has spread to more than a dozen countries across the WHO African Region. The virus has affected both children and adults, and a new strain is reportedly spreading. The declaration follows a continent-wide public health emergency announcement by the Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention.
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Democratic Republic of the Congo • 25%
South Africa • 25%
Kenya • 25%
Uganda • 25%
Democratic Republic of Congo • 25%
Nigeria • 25%
Kenya • 25%
Other • 25%
0-10 countries • 25%
11-20 countries • 25%
21-30 countries • 25%
31+ countries • 25%
South Africa • 25%
Nigeria • 25%
Kenya • 25%
Other • 25%
Moderna • 25%
Pfizer • 25%
AstraZeneca • 25%
Other • 25%
Burundi • 25%
UK • 25%
Germany • 25%
Other • 25%
1-5 countries • 25%
6-10 countries • 25%
11-15 countries • 25%
16+ countries • 25%
Vaccine • 25%
Antiviral treatment • 25%
Both • 25%
Neither • 25%
Nigeria • 25%
Ethiopia • 25%
Bangladesh • 25%
Other • 25%
Kenya • 25%
Nigeria • 25%
South Africa • 25%
Other • 25%