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Which country or entity will mediate North Korea-South Korea drone conflict by April 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
United States • 25%
China • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from involved countries or international organizations, credible news reports
Story
North Korea Accuses South Korea of Drone Intrusion Over Pyongyang, Vows 'Merciless' Response
Oct 28, 2024, 01:15 AM
North Korea has accused South Korea of sending drones into its territory, specifically over Pyongyang, and has vowed a 'merciless' response if such actions continue. The accusations include claims that the drones took off from a western border island in early October and dropped anti-North leaflets. North Korea's defense ministry has called these actions an infringement upon its sovereignty and has issued a detailed 'final report' on the alleged drone flights. The DPRK has warned of a 'merciless offensive' if the incursions persist. In response, South Korea has dismissed these claims as 'unilateral' and has announced plans to bolster its anti-drone capabilities at major ports.
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United States • 25%
China • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other country • 25%
Military conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
International mediation • 25%
Unresolved • 25%
Military conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
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Condemnation without action • 25%
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Discussions stalled • 25%
No discussions initiated • 25%
Yes • 50%
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UN sanctions imposed • 25%
US-led diplomatic mediation • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other action • 25%
China • 25%
United States • 25%
Russia • 25%
South Korea • 25%
United States • 25%
South Korea • 25%
Japan • 25%
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No • 50%
United States • 25%
China • 25%
Russia • 25%
United Nations • 25%