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Will North and South Korea engage in diplomatic talks about drone accusations by March 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from either North Korean or South Korean government or credible news reports
Story
North Korea Accuses South Korea of Drone Intrusion Over Pyongyang, Vows 'Merciless' Response
Oct 28, 2024, 01:15 AM
North Korea has accused South Korea of sending drones into its territory, specifically over Pyongyang, and has vowed a 'merciless' response if such actions continue. The accusations include claims that the drones took off from a western border island in early October and dropped anti-North leaflets. North Korea's defense ministry has called these actions an infringement upon its sovereignty and has issued a detailed 'final report' on the alleged drone flights. The DPRK has warned of a 'merciless offensive' if the incursions persist. In response, South Korea has dismissed these claims as 'unilateral' and has announced plans to bolster its anti-drone capabilities at major ports.
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No • 50%
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Resolution reached • 25%
Ongoing discussions • 25%
Discussions stalled • 25%
No discussions initiated • 25%
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Military conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
International mediation • 25%
Unresolved • 25%
