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Market
Which countries will be involved in the investigation of the undersea cable incident by March 2025?
3
Taiwan•Cameroonian•Keelung Harbor•Hong Kong•Chinese•Coast Guard Administration•CGA•Keelung•Chunghwa Telecom•South Korea•Busan•Taipei•Baltic Sea
Resolution / Starting Odds
Taiwan and South Korea only • 25%
Taiwan, South Korea, and China • 25%
Taiwan, South Korea, and other countries • 25%
Taiwan only • 25%
Official announcements from involved countries or international news outlets
Story
Taiwan Accuses Chinese-Owned Shunxin-39, Registered Under Cameroonian Flag, of Sabotaging Undersea Cable
Jan 6, 2025, 03:23 AM
Taiwan has accused a Chinese-owned cargo vessel, the Shunxin-39, registered under the Cameroonian flag, of damaging an undersea cable near its northeastern coast on Friday. The incident, which occurred near Keelung Harbor, is suspected to be an act of sabotage. The vessel, owned by a Hong Kong-registered company with a director who is a Chinese citizen, was ordered by Taiwan's Coast Guard Administration (CGA) to return to waters off Keelung port for investigation. The damaged cable, operated by Chunghwa Telecom, did not affect domestic communications due to the availability of backup equipment. Taiwan has sought assistance from South Korea in investigating the incident, as the Shunxin-39 is heading to Busan. The incident raises concerns about the vulnerability of Taipei's offshore communications infrastructure and follows similar incidents involving Chinese vessels in the Baltic Sea.
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Legal action against Shunxing39 • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Joint EU investigation • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
Shunxin39 found responsible • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Insufficient evidence • 25%
Shunxin39 exonerated • 25%
Accidental damage confirmed • 25%
No investigation results released • 25%
Intentional sabotage confirmed • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
International diplomatic actions • 25%
Increased naval patrols • 25%
Improved cable protection measures • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Accidental damage by Shunxin39 • 25%
Intentional sabotage by Shunxin39 • 25%
Involvement of another entity • 25%
Cause remains undetermined • 25%
Technical failure • 25%
Sabotage confirmed • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Increased surveillance measures • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
International cooperation agreements • 25%
Installation of physical barriers • 25%
Court ruling • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ongoing dispute • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
