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Which company will first conduct a fully reusable rocket launch with a payload exceeding 100 tons by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
SpaceX • 25%
Stoke Space • 25%
Blue Origin • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the companies and coverage by reputable news outlets
Story
SpaceX and Stoke Space Lead the Charge in Fully Reusable Rockets, a 4.5 Billion-Year Breakthrough
Nov 19, 2024, 05:42 AM
SpaceX's Starship boasts a greater payload capability to low Earth orbit than the Saturn V rocket, while maintaining a marginal cost per launch smaller than the Falcon 1 rocket due to its full reusability. Full reusability is seen as crucial for making life multiplanetary. Stoke Space is also working on rocketry's Holy Grail: fully and rapidly reusable rockets, aiming to revolutionize the cost structure and timeline of space missions. Elon Musk has emphasized that fully reusable rockets with orbital refilling are essential for pioneering life beyond Earth, comparing it to the necessity of reusable ships for the American colonies. For the first time in 4.5 billion years, this breakthrough could make life multiplanetary.
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