Other • 25%

First manned Mars mission • 25%

First commercial moon landing • 25%

First orbital Starship flight • 25%

Other • 25%

Starlink Global Coverage • 25%

Starship Orbital Launch • 25%

Mars Mission Launch • 25%

Starship successful orbital flight • 25%

First commercial lunar landing • 25%

Other • 25%

Starlink global coverage • 25%

Other • 25%

Satellite Internet Expansion • 25%

Moon Base • 25%

Mars Mission • 25%

Other • 25%

Mars Colony Initiative • 25%

Lunar Base Development • 25%

Starship Commercial Flights • 25%

Starship launch • 25%

Satellite deployment • 25%

Other • 25%

New rocket development • 25%

New technology integration • 25%

Service expansion to new countries • 25%

New satellite launch • 25%

Other • 25%

25 flights • 25%

30 flights • 25%

35 flights • 25%

40 flights • 25%

Other • 25%

Starship Commercial Flights • 25%

Satellite Internet Expansion • 25%

Mars Mission • 25%

No major milestone achieved • 25%

Certification for regular missions • 25%

Successful crewed test flight • 25%

Successful uncrewed test flight • 25%

NASA • 25%

Another private space company • 25%

European Space Agency • 25%

No major partnership • 25%

$450 billion • 25%

$500 billion • 25%

No Change • 25%

$400 billion • 25%