Loading...
Market
Which candidate will win Michigan in the 2024 election?
5
Election Day•Kamala Harris•Donald Trump•Harris•Nevada•North Carolina•Wisconsin•Georgia•Trump•Arizona•Pennsylvania•Michigan•NBC News•RealClearPolitics•Silver•Muslim
Resolution / Starting Odds
Kamala Harris • 33%
Donald Trump • 33%
Other • 34%
Verified election results from major news networks such as CNN, NBC, or Associated Press
Story
Harris and Trump Intensify Campaigns in Battleground States as Trump Leads by 0.2% with 85% Chance
Nov 3, 2024, 06:08 PM
With less than a week to Election Day, both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are intensifying their campaigns in battleground states to win over undecided voters, including independents. Recent polls show a tight race, with Harris leading in four swing states (Nevada, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Georgia) and Trump ahead in Arizona. The race is tied in Pennsylvania and Michigan. According to NBC News, Harris leads among early voters by 7 points, while Trump has a 16-point lead among those planning to vote on Election Day. The RealClearPolitics average shows Trump leading the popular vote by 0.2%, which, based on Silver's model, gives Trump an 85% chance of winning. Late undecided voters are breaking strongly for Harris, with a 55-44 percent split. However, Harris has likely lost Michigan, where she has lost around 70,000-100,000 of the Muslim vote.
View original story
Similar markets
Donald Trump • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Other Democratic Candidate • 25%
Other Republican Candidate • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
Other Republican Candidate • 25%
Other Democratic Candidate • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Other • 34%
Donald Trump wins Michigan • 25%
Joe Biden wins Michigan • 25%
Kamala Harris wins Michigan • 25%
Nikki Haley wins Michigan • 25%
Another Democratic candidate • 25%
Another Republican candidate • 25%
Kamala Harris • 33%
Donald Trump • 33%
Other Candidate • 25%
No Winner Declared • 25%
Donald Trump • 50%
Other • 33%
Kamala Harris • 50%
Donald Trump • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
Other Democratic Candidate • 25%
Other Republican Candidate • 25%
Third-party candidate • 25%
Other • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
Democratic candidate • 25%
Republican candidate • 25%
Other/Write-in candidate • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Another Democratic candidate • 25%
Another Republican candidate • 25%
Democratic candidate • 25%
Republican candidate • 25%
Third-party candidate • 25%
Other • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Other • 25%
Tie • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. • 25%
Other • 25%