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Where will Ukrainian forces be involved in Africa by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Mali • 25%
Another African country • 25%
Multiple African countries • 25%
No further involvement • 25%
Official statements from Ukrainian government, credible international news sources
Story
Ukrainian Forces Allegedly Involved in Attack on Wagner in Mali: 80 Killed, 15 Captured
Jul 29, 2024, 02:11 PM
Russian propaganda has claimed that Ukrainian instructors were involved in an attack on Wagner mercenaries in Mali. This assertion follows an ambush by CSP militants that resulted in the deaths of 80 Wagner terrorists and the capture of 15. Unconfirmed reports suggest Ukrainian special forces played a role in the ambush. Observers have noted the presence of multiple Ukrainian GUR SOF advisors alongside Tuareg rebels in Mali. Ukrainian intelligence officials have hinted that these advisors are assisting various African rebels in their fight against Wagner, including in Mali. Some sources have confirmed the direct involvement of Ukrainian special forces, identified by their appearance and attire, in coordinating the attack and subsequently posing with a flag for a photograph.
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Kursk • 25%
Luhansk • 25%
Donetsk • 25%
Other • 25%
Kursk region • 25%
Donetsk region • 25%
Sumy Oblast • 25%
Other regions • 25%
Combat engagement • 25%
Logistical support • 25%
Training support only • 25%
No involvement • 25%
Further into Kursk region • 25%
Into another Russian region • 25%
Retreat to Ukrainian territory • 25%
Other • 25%
Kursk Oblast • 25%
Donetsk Oblast • 25%
Luhansk Oblast • 25%
Other • 25%
Shooting down another high-altitude drone • 25%
Capturing significant territory • 25%
Neutralizing a key Russian commander • 25%
Other • 25%
Russian military base in Syria • 25%
Russian military base in Ukraine • 25%
Russian military base in another country • 25%
Other • 25%
Offensive operation in Eastern Ukraine • 25%
Defensive operation in Eastern Ukraine • 25%
Operation outside Eastern Ukraine • 25%
No major action • 25%
Troops • 25%
Private Military Companies • 25%
Both • 25%
Neither • 25%
Russian air defense system • 25%
Russian command center • 25%
Russian supply depot • 25%
Other • 25%
Civilian areas • 25%
Energy infrastructure • 25%
Military installations • 25%
Transportation networks • 25%