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When will the majority of munitions be delivered to Israel under the arms deal?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
By end of 2025 • 25%
By mid-2026 • 25%
By end of 2026 • 25%
Beyond 2026 • 25%
Official announcements from the US Department of Defense or Israeli government
Story
Biden Proposes $8 Billion Arms Deal to Israel for Fighter Jets, Helicopters, and Artillery
Jan 4, 2025, 04:00 AM
The Biden administration has notified Congress of a proposed $8 billion arms deal with Israel, which includes munitions for fighter jets and attack helicopters, such as AIM-120C-8 AMRAAM missiles, 155mm artillery shells, and Hellfire AGM-114 missiles, as well as small-diameter bombs, JDAM kits, 500-lb warheads, and bomb fuzes. This deal, which requires approval from both the House of Representatives and Senate committees, is intended to support Israel's long-term security by resupplying critical munitions and air defense capabilities. The notification comes as President Joe Biden approaches the end of his term, with the majority of the munitions expected to be delivered over the course of one or more years.
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2028 or later • 25%
By end of 2027 • 25%
By end of 2026 • 25%
By end of 2025 • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
AIM-120C-8 AMRAAM missiles • 25%
155mm artillery shells • 25%
Other • 25%
AGM-114 Hellfire missiles • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other munitions • 25%
AIM-120C-8 AMRAAM missiles • 25%
155mm artillery shells • 25%
AGM-114 Hellfire missiles • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Sale canceled • 25%
Sale modified • 25%
Sale completed as planned • 25%
Sale delayed • 25%
AIM-120C-8 AMRAAM missiles • 25%
AGM-114 Hellfire missiles • 25%
155mm artillery shells • 25%
GBU-39 Small Diameter Bombs • 25%
New defense agreements • 25%
Sale of advanced weapons approved • 25%
Sale of advanced weapons denied • 25%
No significant sales changes • 25%