Loading...
Market
When will Syria complete its new constitution drafting process?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
By 2027 • 25%
By 2028 • 25%
By 2029 • 25%
2029 or later • 25%
Official announcements from the Syrian government or reports from international organizations
Story
Syria's De Facto Leader Ahmed al-Sharaa Says Elections Could Take Four Years, Constitution Drafting Three Years, HTS Dissolution Announced
Dec 29, 2024, 05:10 PM
Ahmed al-Sharaa, Syria's de facto leader following the ousting of Bashar al-Assad, stated in an interview that organizing elections could take up to four years. He emphasized that any legitimate electoral process would require a comprehensive population census. Additionally, al-Sharaa noted that drafting a new constitution may take approximately three years. He also announced plans to dissolve the militant group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) at an upcoming National Dialogue Conference. Al-Sharaa's comments mark the first detailed timeline for Syria's political transition since the recent regime change.
View original story
Similar markets
Not Adopted by 2027 • 25%
Adopted by 2026 • 25%
Adopted by 2025 • 25%
Adopted by 2027 • 25%
Drafted and rejected • 25%
New constitution implemented • 25%
Drafted but not implemented • 25%
Not drafted • 25%
Drafting process begins • 25%
No progress • 25%
Draft completed • 25%
Drafting process delayed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No progress made • 25%
Drafting process completed • 25%
Drafting process initiated • 25%
