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Market
What will Trump achieve in Gaza before his inauguration on Jan 20, 2024?
5
Donald Trump•Gaza•Lindsey Graham•Graham•Trump•Americans•Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Saudi•Mohammed bin Salman
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire only • 25%
Hostage release only • 25%
Both achieved • 25%
Neither achieved • 25%
Official announcements and news reports confirming the event outcomes.
Story
Trump Pushes for Gaza Ceasefire, Release of 101 Hostages Before Inauguration, Graham Says
Nov 29, 2024, 10:14 PM
President-elect Donald Trump is seeking to secure a ceasefire and hostage release deal in Gaza before his inauguration on January 20, according to Senator Lindsey Graham. Graham stated that Trump is more determined than ever to free 101 hostages, including seven Americans, and end the ongoing conflict. "He wants to see it happening now," Graham said, emphasizing that Trump wants the killing to stop and the fighting to end. Trump is reportedly leveraging his relationships with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to achieve this goal.
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Similar markets
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire without peace agreement • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Increased conflict • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic incentives • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
International coalition building • 25%
Some hostages released • 25%
Hostages harmed or killed • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
Partial release of hostages • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Complete Resolution • 25%
Partial Resolution • 25%
No Progress • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Two-state solution • 25%
One-state solution • 25%
Ceasefire without solution • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Successful Ceasefire • 25%
Failed Ceasefire • 25%
Ongoing Negotiations • 25%
No Talks Held • 25%
Complete peace achieved • 25%
Partial peace agreements • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%