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What will the Israeli investigation conclude about the failure to intercept the ballistic missile by Dec 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
System malfunction • 25%
Human error • 25%
Missile evasion tactics • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF), major news outlets
Story
Ballistic Missile from Yemen by Houthis Reaches Central Israel, Travels 2,000 km in 15 Minutes
Sep 15, 2024, 04:44 AM
A surface-to-surface ballistic missile launched from Yemen by the Houthis reached central Israel on Sunday, triggering widespread sirens and alarms. The missile, which was detected crossing into Israeli territory from the east, fell in an open area, causing no injuries. Explosions were heard over Tel Aviv due to attempted interceptions by the Israeli aerial defense systems. The missile reportedly traveled 2,000 kilometers in 15 minutes. The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) confirmed the launch origin and stated that the missile was not intercepted successfully. Authorities are investigating the reasons behind the failure to detect and intercept the missile despite the long distance it traveled. The missile was intercepted over Modiin, near Ben Gurion Airport. Five Israelis suffered minor injuries while rushing to bomb shelters.
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Technical malfunction • 25%
Human error • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Increased military action • 25%
Enhanced missile defense systems • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Human error • 25%
System overload • 25%
Classified/undisclosed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Technical failure identified • 25%
Human error identified • 25%
Both technical and human error • 25%
No clear cause identified • 25%
No significant changes needed • 25%
Operational protocol changes • 25%
Technical upgrades required • 25%
Combination of changes • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Human error • 25%
External interference • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Human error • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Other • 25%
Technical failure • 25%
Human error • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Hezbollah confirmed as sole perpetrator • 25%
Hezbollah and another group involved • 25%
Attack attributed to another group • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%