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What will the investigation into the Trump assassination attempt conclude by end of 2024?
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Homeland Security•Alejandro Mayorkas•Donald Trump•Butler•Pennsylvania•Secret Service•Jim Copenhaver•David Dutch•Trump•Dutch
Resolution / Starting Odds
Negligence confirmed • 25%
Operational failure confirmed • 25%
No significant failures found • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Official investigation report from the Department of Homeland Security or related authorities
Story
Secret Service Needs 'Fundamental Reform,' Panel Warns After Trump Assassination Attempt
Oct 17, 2024, 12:45 PM
An independent, bipartisan panel appointed by Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas has released a 52-page report criticizing the U.S. Secret Service for systemic failures that led to the July 13 assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump at a rally in Butler, Pennsylvania. The report describes the agency as 'bureaucratic, complacent, and static,' warning that without fundamental reforms, 'another Butler can and will happen again.' The panel recommends an overhaul of the Secret Service's leadership, bringing in new, outside personnel to address deep flaws in culture and operations. The two men who were shot during the attack, Jim Copenhaver and David Dutch, spoke publicly for the first time, accusing the Secret Service of negligence and saying the agency failed to protect them and Trump. 'It was like getting hit with a sledgehammer right in the chest,' Dutch said of his injuries.
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Lone wolf attack • 25%
Part of a larger conspiracy • 25%
Motivated by political reasons • 25%
Other • 25%
Suspect(s) arrested • 25%
Suspect(s) identified but not arrested • 25%
No suspect(s) identified • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Biden Administration involvement • 25%
Foreign entity involvement • 25%
Domestic entity involvement • 25%
Lone wolf • 25%
Lone wolf attacker • 25%
Organized group • 25%
Foreign involvement • 25%
Unknown/Unresolved • 25%
Security lapses confirmed • 25%
No security lapses found • 25%
Mixed findings • 25%
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US internal threat • 25%
Foreign involvement • 25%
Unresolved • 25%
Other • 25%
Shooter apprehended and charged • 25%
Shooter identified but not apprehended • 25%
Shooter unidentified • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Setup confirmed • 25%
Not a setup • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
No official conclusion • 25%
Lone wolf attacker • 25%
Domestic terrorist group • 25%
Foreign entity involvement • 25%
Unknown/undetermined • 25%
Charges filed against additional suspects • 25%
Ryan Routh is the only suspect • 25%
Investigation finds no additional evidence • 25%
Investigation results not disclosed • 25%
Crooks found guilty • 25%
Crooks found not guilty • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Lone Wolf Act • 25%
Organized Plot • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Other • 25%
Secret Service at fault • 25%
Local law enforcement at fault • 25%
Both at fault • 25%
Neither at fault • 25%
One shooter, no conspiracy • 25%
Two shooters, conspiracy • 25%
One shooter, conspiracy • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Gunman acted alone • 25%
Gunman was part of a larger conspiracy • 25%
Investigation remains inconclusive • 25%
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Lone wolf attack • 25%
Part of a larger conspiracy • 25%
Unresolved • 25%
Other • 25%
Suspect apprehended • 25%
Suspect not apprehended • 25%
Suspect deceased • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Lone actor with no accomplices • 25%
Lone actor with remote support • 25%
Part of a larger conspiracy • 25%
No conclusion reached • 25%