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Market
What will Steve Bannon do politically after his prison sentence?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Campaigns for Trump 2024 • 33%
Starts a new political organization • 33%
Remains inactive • 33%
News reports from reputable sources or official announcements
Story
Steve Bannon Ordered to Surrender to Prison by July 1 for Four-Month Sentence
Jun 6, 2024, 04:48 PM
Steve Bannon, a longtime adviser to former President Donald Trump, has been ordered by U.S. District Judge Carl Nichols to surrender to federal prison by July 1 to serve a four-month sentence for contempt of Congress. This decision follows Bannon's failed appeal of a 2022 conviction for defying a subpoena from the House committee investigating the January 6 Capitol attack. Judge Nichols also revoked Bannon's bail, ensuring he will begin his sentence as scheduled. Bannon has publicly stated his continued support for Trump and his unwillingness to be silenced by imprisonment.
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Actively involved in a campaign • 33%
Advising from behind the scenes • 33%
No involvement • 33%
Runs for office again • 33%
Retires from politics • 33%
Forms a new political movement • 34%
Serves full term • 33%
Receives early release • 33%
Receives pardon or commutation • 33%
Trump Withdraws from Race • 33%
Trump Continues Campaign • 33%
Republican Party Replaces Trump • 34%
Significant negative impact • 33%
No significant impact • 34%
Positive impact • 33%
Trump defends Bannon • 33%
Trump criticizes legal system • 33%
No comment from Trump • 33%
Significantly impacted • 50%
No significant impact • 50%
Support Trump • 33%
Distance from Trump • 33%
Neutral stance • 33%
Trump wins Republican nomination • 25%
Trump runs as independent • 25%
Trump does not run • 25%
Trump loses nomination but supports another candidate • 25%
Full support for Trump • 33%
Neutral stance • 33%
Withdrawal of support • 33%