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What will Russia publicly acknowledge regarding the cause of the Azerbaijan Airlines crash by December 31, 2025?
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Ilham Aliyev•Azerbaijan•Azerbaijani•Russia•Azerbaijan Airlines•AZAL•Aktau•Kazakhstan•Aliyev•Moscow•Russian•Vladimir Putin
Resolution / Starting Odds
Acknowledgment of electronic warfare • 25%
Acknowledgment of ground fire • 25%
Denial of responsibility • 25%
No official statement • 25%
Official statements from Russian government or verified news reports
Story
Azerbaijan's President Says Plane Shot Down by Russia, 38 Dead
Dec 29, 2024, 01:21 PM
President Ilham Aliyev of Azerbaijan announced that the Azerbaijani passenger plane that crashed last week was damaged by ground fire from Russia and rendered uncontrollable by electronic warfare. The Azerbaijan Airlines (AZAL) flight crashed near Aktau, Kazakhstan, killing 38 people. Aliyev called on Moscow to admit guilt, punish those responsible, and pay compensation. He criticized Russia for attempting to conceal the cause of the crash by spreading false narratives and expressed disappointment over Russia's handling of the incident. Aliyev noted that Russian President Vladimir Putin had apologized for the tragedy occurring in Russian airspace.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Pilot error • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Other cause • 25%
Russian missile confirmed • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Human error • 25%
Intentional act • 25%
Other • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Identified individuals and legal action taken • 25%
Identified individuals but no legal action • 25%
No individuals identified • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
External interference confirmed • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Technical failure • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Other • 25%
External interference • 25%
